SOLANA MAINNET · PROBABILITY TERMINAL
Price the belief.
Measure the gap.
Turn a prediction into a probability, compare it with market price, size the risk, and keep a paper record before you act.
01 · PROBABILITY LAB
Find the edge
before the trade.
A market price is an implied probability. Enter the market price and your own estimate to see the gap, expected value, and a risk-sized paper stake.
INPUT MODEL
CALCULATES LOCALLYYour assumptions
¢
%
199
$
%
EDGE+15.0 pts
EV / $1 SHARE+$0.150
HALF KELLY13.5%
SUGGESTED STAKE$100.00
EST. SHARES—
Research sizing only. The output depends entirely on the probability you enter.
02 · SCENARIO BOARD
Trade the thought
before the money.
Open a scenario and save a paper YES or NO position. This board is a local research workspace, not a live prediction exchange.
SCENARIO / IMPLIED PROBABILITY / PAPER VOLUMESAVED 0
LOCAL NOTEBOOK
Paper position book
03 · THESIS BUILDER
Make the claim
testable.
Good predictions have a precise question, a probability, and a resolution date. Build the thesis, then copy a URL that reconstructs it.
%
predictme.click / THESIS
Will your thesis happen?
62%Set a resolution date
